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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+5.09vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+3.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+4.59vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+1.99vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.44+4.43vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.21+4.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.99+0.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.19-1.51vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.84-1.38vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.30-3.95vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.37-1.46vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.56-0.88vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.27-1.20vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.67+1.84vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.95-7.48vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.63-2.91vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.35vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of South Florida1.459.8%1st Place
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5.27Jacksonville University1.7012.8%1st Place
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7.59Eckerd College0.857.0%1st Place
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5.99North Carolina State University1.5711.5%1st Place
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9.43Jacksonville University0.444.2%1st Place
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10.38University of Miami0.213.3%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida0.995.1%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston1.199.5%1st Place
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7.62Jacksonville University0.847.1%1st Place
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6.05College of Charleston1.3011.1%1st Place
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9.54Florida State University0.373.6%1st Place
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11.12Auburn University0.562.9%1st Place
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11.8The Citadel-0.272.6%1st Place
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15.84University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
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7.52Rollins College0.956.0%1st Place
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13.09Duke University-0.631.2%1st Place
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14.65Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.6%1st Place
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14.74Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| David Webb | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 42.3% |
| Milo Miller | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 20.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.