Race 3A

no-ringer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Meade 30.0% 22.5% 18.1% 11.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 9.0% 11.2% 12.7% 12.3% 13.2% 10.5% 12.9% 7.7% 5.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 11.4% 10.2% 11.4% 9.8% 13.4% 12.2% 12.4% 9.5% 5.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Alexandra Swanson 12.3% 15.2% 12.7% 14.0% 13.5% 10.8% 9.3% 6.7% 2.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Evan Gregory 12.2% 12.1% 11.8% 13.7% 13.0% 11.5% 9.7% 7.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Jade Forsberg 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 8.1% 8.8% 10.5% 15.0% 15.8% 14.6% 6.5%
Stefanie Anderson 2.4% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 5.9% 5.9% 8.2% 10.5% 12.9% 16.1% 15.9% 12.3%
Christina Wettersten 6.0% 4.6% 7.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.0% 12.5% 13.8% 13.5% 9.7% 4.8% 3.2%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 9.2% 11.4% 12.9% 13.4% 12.0% 14.7% 8.7% 9.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Sarah Hyman 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 5.9% 6.6% 8.3% 14.7% 15.5% 18.2% 16.1%
Carl Noble 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 2.5% 1.9% 3.5% 4.1% 7.4% 8.9% 14.1% 21.7% 31.7%
Martin Hooker 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 4.5% 6.7% 12.0% 14.0% 20.7% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.