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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University-0.15+7.86vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+2.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.47+1.99vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.45+1.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.54-2.13vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.24+1.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-1.38vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.01-0.64vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.45-5.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.76-6.67vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.04McGill University1.450.1%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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7.96Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston University0.010.0%1st Place
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4.87Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.33Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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9.76University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hyman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| Evan Gregory | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Meade | 29.7% | 23.1% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Christina Wettersten | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Stefanie Anderson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 11.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.4% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carl Noble | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 31.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.