Race 5A

no-ringer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Meade 30.0% 21.8% 18.0% 13.1% 7.5% 4.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefanie Anderson 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 4.4% 5.0% 5.7% 8.6% 10.2% 14.7% 16.0% 16.5% 11.9%
Evan Gregory 12.6% 10.9% 12.3% 11.8% 12.1% 13.9% 10.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 8.3% 11.4% 12.0% 12.9% 12.6% 12.6% 12.3% 7.5% 5.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.4%
Alexandra Swanson 13.9% 15.4% 12.3% 14.5% 12.5% 10.8% 7.8% 7.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Christina Wettersten 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.8% 8.7% 9.9% 12.4% 13.9% 13.3% 8.9% 7.1% 2.0%
Aaron Klein 11.3% 10.9% 12.3% 12.4% 12.4% 12.0% 10.6% 7.3% 5.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Jade Forsberg 2.7% 4.2% 3.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 10.4% 10.5% 13.5% 16.5% 13.4% 7.1%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 8.8% 11.7% 14.3% 12.2% 13.0% 12.8% 9.6% 8.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sarah Hyman 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 10.8% 12.6% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9%
Martin Hooker 1.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 8.2% 9.2% 14.3% 22.8% 28.0%
Carl Noble 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 4.2% 6.8% 11.6% 12.8% 19.8% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.