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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+0.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.93+1.02vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.24+3.69vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.67+1.13vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.48-1.24vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-1.36+2.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.48-1.62vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.92-0.15vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.68-5.03vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.53-2.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.80-1.50vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-4.34-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Tufts University3.260.6%1st Place
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3.02Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
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6.69Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.13Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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8.61Brandeis University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.38Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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7.85McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.8University of New Hampshire-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 59.3% | 25.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Swanson | 15.9% | 27.1% | 24.5% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 3.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Lockard | 9.5% | 17.5% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Skeens | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 27.7% | 11.4% | 0.8% |
| Emma Davis | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Ballard Blair | 3.6% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Schulz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 29.9% | 15.2% | 1.3% |
| Herbert Mehnert | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 54.4% | 16.8% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 12.3% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.