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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+0.62vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.48+1.70vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.67+2.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.48+1.39vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.93-1.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68-0.92vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.24-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.53-0.18vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-1.36-1.41vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.92-3.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.80-1.50vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-4.34-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Tufts University3.260.6%1st Place
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3.7Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.09Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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3.07Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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6.64Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.82University of New Hampshire-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.59Brandeis University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.83McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 58.7% | 27.0% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Lockard | 9.3% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 2.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Swanson | 15.4% | 26.5% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Schulz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 29.2% | 15.8% | 1.6% |
| Erin Skeens | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 28.2% | 9.8% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 24.6% | 16.0% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Herbert Mehnert | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 55.4% | 16.3% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 11.9% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.