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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.93+2.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26-0.39vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.67+2.16vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.48-0.26vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.24+1.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68-0.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.48-1.59vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-1.36-0.15vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.92-1.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.56-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.53-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-4.34-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
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1.61Tufts University3.260.6%1st Place
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5.16Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.91Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.13Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.41Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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8.85Brandeis University-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.04McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.560.0%1st Place
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9.22University of New Hampshire-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Swanson | 15.9% | 24.4% | 24.5% | 18.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 59.3% | 25.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 4.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Lockard | 8.2% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ballard Blair | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Skeens | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 2.7% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 0.6% |
| Stanislav Tsitkov | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 29.8% | 2.7% |
| Kathryn Schulz | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 30.2% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.