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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.92+7.15vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.48+1.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26-1.37vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.48+1.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.93-1.89vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.24+0.88vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.36+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.53+1.05vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College0.67-4.96vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.68-5.93vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.56-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-4.34-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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1.63Tufts University3.260.6%1st Place
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5.54Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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3.11Boston University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.88Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.75Brandeis University-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.05University of New Hampshire-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.04Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.560.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Wilkinson | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 0.5% |
| Claire Lockard | 9.1% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 57.6% | 27.7% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Swanson | 14.9% | 26.1% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Skeens | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 2.0% |
| Kathryn Schulz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 27.3% | 3.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 4.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stanislav Tsitkov | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 3.6% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 90.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.