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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+0.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.93+1.07vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.67+2.14vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.24+2.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+0.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.48-3.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.48-2.59vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.92-0.97vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.56-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.53-1.92vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-4.34-0.25vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.36-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Tufts University3.260.6%1st Place
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3.07Boston University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.14Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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6.86Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.41Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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8.03McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.560.0%1st Place
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9.08University of New Hampshire-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
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8.93Brandeis University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 57.6% | 25.8% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Swanson | 14.4% | 28.8% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Lockard | 10.3% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 0.7% |
| Stanislav Tsitkov | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 22.3% | 28.1% | 3.0% |
| Kathryn Schulz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 24.5% | 26.7% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 90.3% |
| Erin Skeens | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 21.8% | 23.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.