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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.19+5.52vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.37+7.60vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+3.02vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.95+1.39vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+0.58vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.56+3.13vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.83+5.91vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.44-0.32vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.57-5.14vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.27-0.12vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+1.52vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.84-6.32vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.30-8.76vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.21-5.86vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.63-4.09vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.67-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52College of Charleston1.1910.2%1st Place
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9.6Florida State University0.373.9%1st Place
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5.24Jacksonville University1.7013.7%1st Place
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5.9University of South Florida1.4511.4%1st Place
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8.02University of South Florida0.995.5%1st Place
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7.39Rollins College0.957.6%1st Place
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7.58Eckerd College0.857.1%1st Place
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11.13Auburn University0.562.5%1st Place
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14.91Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
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9.68Jacksonville University0.443.0%1st Place
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5.86North Carolina State University1.5710.4%1st Place
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11.88The Citadel-0.272.5%1st Place
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14.52Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.5%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University0.845.6%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston1.309.6%1st Place
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10.14University of Miami0.213.1%1st Place
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12.91Duke University-0.631.6%1st Place
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15.8University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 23.2% | 22.7% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 19.6% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 7.3% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.