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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+7.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+7.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+1.90vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.13+5.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.81+2.38vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49-4.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.96-3.69vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.14vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.56-1.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.71-7.82vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-3.85vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.09Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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13.6University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.38Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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12.86University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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12.07McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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14.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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13.15Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Scott Booth | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 10.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| John Rolander | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Martz | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 20.9% |
| Walter Florio | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.