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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+7.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+5.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+3.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81+5.47vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.71+1.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.51+0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-4.68vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.56+2.46vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60-2.35vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.13+1.94vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-8.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-6.02vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-2.94vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.76vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.57Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.79Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.47Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.09Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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12.46McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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13.94University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.84University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.98Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.06Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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14.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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14.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Walter Florio | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Booth | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.6% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 17.9% |
| William Dykes | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| John Rolander | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 21.4% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.