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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+5.60vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+6.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+2.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+3.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70-0.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+3.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51+1.82vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59+0.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-2.71vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35+2.12vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-7.36vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.56-0.86vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-1.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-0.77vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.22vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.81-5.38vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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12.14McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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12.77Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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14.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.62Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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14.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 15.9% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Scott Booth | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.