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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.51+8.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+5.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+3.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+3.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70-0.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49-0.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+2.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+0.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.71-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-5.53vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.81+0.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+2.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.59-4.68vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+0.33vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-2.00vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.23vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.56-4.61vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.35-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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4.68Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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11.49Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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14.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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8.32Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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14.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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13.0Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.39McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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12.73University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Walter Florio | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Orgill | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 24.1% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 25.7% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 17.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| William Dykes | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.