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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.51+7.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.81+9.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+2.18vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+2.70vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+2.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70-1.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18-1.00vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-2.47vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-0.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60-2.85vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.56+0.33vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-4.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.06vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-3.17vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-3.42vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.35Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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5.18Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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12.33McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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12.55University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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13.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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12.83Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Bailey | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| John Rolander | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% |
| William Dykes | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.