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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.51+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.35+11.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+8.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+0.33vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13+7.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49-1.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23+0.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-4.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-3.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+0.17vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.56-3.03vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.59-7.86vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-4.12vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.21-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.02University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.27Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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4.33Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.51University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.87Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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13.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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14.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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11.97McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.88Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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9.32Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| John Rolander | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Walter Florio | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 20.2% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 26.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.