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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+4.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.19+4.55vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+2.66vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-0.71vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.30-0.80vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.63+5.01vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.37+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.21+0.22vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.56+0.08vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.44-2.32vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.84-5.32vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.95-6.61vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.27-2.97vs Predicted
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16Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.54vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.67-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91North Carolina State University1.5711.8%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston1.197.8%1st Place
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7.61Eckerd College0.856.5%1st Place
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5.99University of South Florida1.4510.4%1st Place
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7.66University of South Florida0.996.6%1st Place
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5.29Jacksonville University1.7012.8%1st Place
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6.2College of Charleston1.3010.8%1st Place
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13.01Duke University-0.631.8%1st Place
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9.61Florida State University0.374.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Miami0.213.6%1st Place
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11.08Auburn University0.563.1%1st Place
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9.68Jacksonville University0.443.9%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University0.846.7%1st Place
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7.39Rollins College0.956.2%1st Place
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12.03The Citadel-0.272.1%1st Place
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14.46Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.8%1st Place
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14.85Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
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15.77University of Central Florida-1.670.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| David Webb | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Isabel Smith | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 21.5% | 24.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.