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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+5.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+3.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.96+3.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+5.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13+7.56vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35+5.75vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+0.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.81+2.10vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-3.76vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.71-3.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.51-3.22vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-5.04vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.56-2.29vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-0.55vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-3.11vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.59-8.70vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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4.42Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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13.56University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.75University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.64Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.1Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.24Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.81Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.71McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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14.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.89Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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13.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 18.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 17.3% |
| William Dykes | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
| John Silvestri | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Booth | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 26.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% |
| Jacob Martz | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.