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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+7.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+6.68vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+9.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+0.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81+5.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+1.48vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-3.11vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.71-3.16vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35+1.04vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-4.44vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.96-7.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-0.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-1.44vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-4.11vs Predicted
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19McGill University1.56-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.18Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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5.05Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.13Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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4.41Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.84Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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13.04University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.56Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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14.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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14.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.89Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.88McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Scott Booth | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| John Rolander | 14.5% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 20.4% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 28.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 11.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.