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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+3.63vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+5.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+9.37vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+3.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.81+4.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96-1.26vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-3.07vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-4.11vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+2.73vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35-0.36vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.56-2.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.00vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.59-7.78vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.35-4.06vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.51-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.96Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.16Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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14.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.64Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.8McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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14.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.94University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| John Rolander | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 30.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 19.9% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| William Dykes | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Scott Booth | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.