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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+4.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+4.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+5.64vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+9.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+2.69vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+2.72vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.81+4.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18-2.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59-0.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-5.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-1.35vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-3.53vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-7.55vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.56-2.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-1.42vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-4.06vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.12Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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5.98Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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12.58University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.04McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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14.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.94Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 15.8% |
| Walter Florio | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 17.0% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 28.7% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.