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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+5.90vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+5.76vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+1.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+1.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+3.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+1.14vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52+4.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95-1.45vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98+1.09vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.69-2.18vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.61-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-5.11vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26+1.83vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.74-7.70vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-1.66vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69-5.76vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.84-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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11.59Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.68University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.83University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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16.7McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 5.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 30.2% | 27.9% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Paggi | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 20.3% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.