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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+5.94vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+4.81vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+7.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+1.58vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+2.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60-1.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.28+1.98vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81-0.97vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69-1.51vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.74-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-4.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+2.51vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.52-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26+1.84vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.84+1.81vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.61-8.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69-5.75vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.78-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.3Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.58Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.61Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.03Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.49Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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11.49Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.81McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 15.4% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 23.3% | 22.2% | 9.5% |
| Ben Brown | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 30.1% | 27.3% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 8.5% | 22.1% | 56.4% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Paggi | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.