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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+6.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+2.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+6.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.81+3.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+1.71vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24-0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69+4.13vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+2.00vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52+2.58vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.78+3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-4.26vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.61-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-6.58vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+0.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-7.45vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.74-8.56vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.26-0.98vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.84-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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5.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.58Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.9University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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14.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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16.02University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.66McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Paggi | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Brown | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 22.7% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 23.6% | 17.7% | 7.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 32.5% | 30.8% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 23.9% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.