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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+5.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+4.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+4.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+1.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60-2.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+2.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-3.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68-2.24vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.52+0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.74-4.33vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69-3.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-0.69vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.28-6.94vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.26-1.01vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.84-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.71Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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13.61University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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14.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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15.99University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.68McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 13.7% | 5.2% |
| Alexander Paggi | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 7.8% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 32.3% | 30.5% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 23.9% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.