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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+3.80vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.19+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.99+4.18vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+3.05vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45-0.58vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.37+1.89vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.57-2.46vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.56+1.30vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.95-3.30vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.63+1.30vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.44-2.87vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.27-1.86vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.21-4.60vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.36vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.67-1.07vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Jacksonville University1.7015.1%1st Place
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6.02College of Charleston1.1910.0%1st Place
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7.18University of South Florida0.996.5%1st Place
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7.05Eckerd College0.856.7%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University0.847.9%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.4511.1%1st Place
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8.89Florida State University0.375.1%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University1.5711.6%1st Place
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10.3Auburn University0.563.0%1st Place
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6.7Rollins College0.958.2%1st Place
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12.3Duke University-0.631.5%1st Place
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9.13Jacksonville University0.444.8%1st Place
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11.14The Citadel-0.272.5%1st Place
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9.4University of Miami0.214.0%1st Place
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13.64Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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14.93University of Central Florida-1.670.5%1st Place
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13.81Embry-Riddle University-1.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Smith | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Milo Miller | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Christopher McCollum | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 41.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.