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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+5.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+2.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+2.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69+6.90vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78+8.58vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+0.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.74+0.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.68-0.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.61-1.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81-2.59vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98-0.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.28-2.65vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-6.32vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.69-6.62vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.52-3.39vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.26-0.02vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-2.69vs Predicted
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19McGill University-0.84-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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13.58University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.61Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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15.98University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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16.7McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Paggi | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 4.6% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 33.9% | 28.5% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 23.3% | 18.9% | 8.2% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 21.4% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.