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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69+10.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+2.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+2.56vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.81+2.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78+6.73vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.68-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95-2.36vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-4.13vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.74-3.47vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-0.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.61-5.23vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.28-5.22vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.98-4.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-1.71vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.26-1.00vs Predicted
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19McGill University-0.84-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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4.76Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.73University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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11.86Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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14.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.65McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Paggi | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 13.9% | 6.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 8.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 32.8% | 30.0% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 23.9% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.