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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+5.64vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+6.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28+4.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60-0.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+1.16vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+1.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05+1.96vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79-1.89vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-3.01vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.52+1.05vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+2.37vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.93-2.64vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-0.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-4.21vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.84+0.05vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-11.22vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.61-11.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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7.16Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.05Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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14.37University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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14.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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17.05McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 17.6% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 1.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 26.0% | 11.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 26.1% | 13.6% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 15.9% | 69.3% |
| Amina Brown | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.