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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+5.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+7.40vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+5.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.60vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+4.03vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78+7.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79-0.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.61-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.19-0.28vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.81-3.78vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.74-4.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+1.52vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-8.56vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.52-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.93-5.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-5.04vs Predicted
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19McGill University-0.84-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.58Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.09University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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14.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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5.44Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.86Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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16.96McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 10.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 31.4% | 12.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.