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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+3.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+4.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.61+5.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+2.57vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74+2.37vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+4.04vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+1.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81-0.90vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-3.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.19-0.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-3.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55+0.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.28-3.95vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.52-2.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-0.37vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-1.79vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.93-6.36vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.84-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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11.61Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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14.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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14.21University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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16.95McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 30.7% | 12.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 24.2% | 10.5% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 12.8% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.