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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+7.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+5.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+3.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74+2.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.28+3.12vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+2.96vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81-0.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+5.68vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-3.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-4.25vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52+0.17vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-7.41vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-0.88vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.84+0.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-6.01vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.79-11.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.13Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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14.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.17Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.59Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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14.12University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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17.05McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 28.5% | 12.3% |
| William Hawk | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 2.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 9.9% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 12.6% | 71.8% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.