← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.05+9.14vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.24+3.70vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.28+6.32vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.60+0.60vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.61+2.87vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.74+1.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.96-0.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut1.93+2.37vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.79-1.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.19-0.27vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College1.52+0.98vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.92-4.91vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.98vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.49-5.86vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-4.21vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-2.29vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.81-10.68vs Predicted
-
19McGill University-0.84-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.14Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
5.7Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.32Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
-
4.6Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
-
7.87Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.46Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.68University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.37University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.19Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
9.73University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
11.98Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.09Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
-
13.98University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
8.14Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
14.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
-
7.32Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
16.94McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Brown | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| William Hawk | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 26.0% | 8.4% |
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 28.7% | 14.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.