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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+3.77vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+6.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+2.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+3.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+4.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+3.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+3.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.74-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-2.46vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-3.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55+0.94vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.81-4.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+1.54vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.52-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.93-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-1.79vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.79-9.65vs Predicted
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19McGill University-0.84-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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14.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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11.71Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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14.21University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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16.95McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 15.6% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 31.4% | 11.7% |
| Ben Brown | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 10.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 12.6% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.