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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+3.84vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+5.09vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+2.53vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.44+4.88vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.57+0.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.19-0.12vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.37+1.76vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.95-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.99-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.21-0.47vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.63+1.25vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.56-1.68vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.84-6.01vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.39vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-1.67-0.11vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.27-4.76vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Jacksonville University1.7014.1%1st Place
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7.09Eckerd College0.856.0%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida1.4512.4%1st Place
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8.88Jacksonville University0.444.0%1st Place
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5.32North Carolina State University1.5712.3%1st Place
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5.88College of Charleston1.1910.8%1st Place
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8.76Florida State University0.374.4%1st Place
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6.87Rollins College0.957.7%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida0.997.4%1st Place
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9.53University of Miami0.213.9%1st Place
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12.25Duke University-0.631.4%1st Place
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10.32Auburn University0.563.5%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University0.847.8%1st Place
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13.61Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.2%1st Place
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14.89University of Central Florida-1.670.5%1st Place
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11.24The Citadel-0.271.8%1st Place
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13.92Embry-Riddle University-1.830.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Milo Miller | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher McCollum | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
| Isabel Smith | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 20.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 42.2% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.