Race 1A

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Margaret Swanson 21.0% 21.9% 22.1% 17.2% 10.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Housberg 30.5% 25.4% 19.2% 13.5% 7.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Omura 6.8% 8.5% 10.1% 12.8% 19.6% 19.0% 14.1% 6.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Emily Lynn 19.9% 20.9% 20.2% 17.8% 11.1% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Tschiegg 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 7.9% 13.9% 19.2% 17.8% 14.1% 9.0% 2.5% 0.7%
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan 11.7% 13.0% 15.4% 17.9% 18.1% 12.7% 6.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah Spiro 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 5.9% 9.8% 14.8% 18.1% 23.7% 18.2%
Shannon Nardi 1.8% 0.9% 0.7% 3.3% 5.1% 7.7% 13.8% 17.1% 19.0% 19.4% 11.2%
Elizabeth Resnick 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 4.2% 7.4% 12.7% 18.6% 49.7%
Kevin Wilkinson 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 9.1% 17.0% 17.8% 20.2% 14.3% 7.8%
Rebecca Freeman 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 4.7% 8.0% 11.5% 18.6% 17.7% 20.8% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.