Race 2A

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Margaret Swanson 20.9% 22.6% 20.8% 18.1% 10.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Housberg 31.2% 23.8% 21.0% 13.0% 7.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Omura 6.4% 9.0% 10.2% 13.8% 18.4% 19.9% 12.3% 7.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan 10.9% 11.3% 14.6% 19.0% 18.4% 14.2% 8.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Shannon Nardi 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 4.2% 7.5% 12.8% 17.2% 18.2% 19.8% 13.1%
Emily Lynn 21.0% 21.7% 19.5% 16.8% 12.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Wilkinson 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 5.5% 9.9% 15.1% 19.4% 19.0% 14.1% 7.6%
Rebecca Freeman 1.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.6% 4.5% 7.6% 13.1% 17.0% 19.1% 18.3% 14.3%
Hannah Spiro 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 5.2% 8.9% 13.0% 20.0% 22.6% 21.9%
Laura Tschiegg 3.5% 5.4% 6.2% 8.6% 14.2% 19.7% 19.2% 13.8% 6.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Elizabeth Resnick 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 3.6% 5.5% 8.0% 15.1% 21.6% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.