Race 3A

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Margaret Swanson 22.7% 21.1% 21.1% 17.2% 11.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Omura 7.5% 9.1% 10.8% 14.6% 20.2% 17.6% 12.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan 10.4% 12.4% 14.4% 19.3% 17.5% 15.2% 7.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Lynn 19.8% 20.4% 21.1% 17.4% 13.4% 5.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Tschiegg 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 8.9% 12.9% 20.6% 18.8% 13.3% 8.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Nathan Housberg 29.8% 25.0% 19.8% 11.6% 8.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Wilkinson 1.5% 3.0% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 10.8% 15.4% 19.7% 18.9% 13.3% 8.1%
Hannah Spiro 0.9% 1.3% 0.7% 2.1% 2.5% 5.5% 12.3% 13.1% 18.9% 22.7% 20.0%
Rebecca Freeman 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 6.6% 10.0% 18.4% 18.8% 21.1% 15.0%
Shannon Nardi 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 7.1% 13.7% 18.4% 18.9% 18.2% 12.0%
Elizabeth Resnick 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 2.3% 3.4% 5.1% 7.9% 13.9% 21.4% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.