Race 4A

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Margaret Swanson 21.7% 21.8% 18.6% 20.0% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Omura 7.6% 7.7% 11.0% 15.6% 20.3% 19.2% 10.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Laura Tschiegg 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 7.5% 11.8% 19.7% 20.9% 14.8% 7.6% 3.6% 0.5%
Nathan Housberg 28.8% 24.6% 20.4% 13.3% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan 12.5% 13.6% 14.7% 17.1% 18.9% 13.2% 6.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Lynn 20.7% 21.0% 22.1% 15.6% 11.1% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rebecca Freeman 1.0% 2.2% 1.6% 3.3% 2.7% 7.2% 12.3% 17.2% 19.5% 19.4% 13.6%
Shannon Nardi 1.6% 0.9% 1.6% 3.2% 3.8% 8.7% 15.1% 15.9% 17.6% 19.6% 12.0%
Kevin Wilkinson 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 5.3% 8.2% 15.6% 18.9% 20.6% 14.3% 8.8%
Hannah Spiro 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 3.5% 5.9% 10.4% 14.0% 18.5% 22.9% 19.9%
Elizabeth Resnick 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 2.0% 3.8% 4.6% 9.8% 13.0% 19.9% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.