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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.80+3.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.93+0.94vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.92+4.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-0.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.86-2.97vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.12-0.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.20-5.53vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.10+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.14-1.80vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-1.44-2.35vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.22-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.800.1%1st Place
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2.94Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
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7.92McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.250.1%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University1.860.2%1st Place
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6.03Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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2.47Brown University2.200.3%1st Place
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9.6University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.65Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.17Middlebury College-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Omura | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Swanson | 21.0% | 22.6% | 23.1% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lynn | 21.1% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Tschiegg | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Housberg | 33.2% | 24.8% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 46.6% |
| Shannon Nardi | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 12.2% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 20.3% |
| Rebecca Freeman | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.