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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.93+1.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.80+2.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.12+3.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+0.14vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.86-1.95vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-1.44+2.70vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.92+0.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.20-5.48vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.22-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.10-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.14-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.800.1%1st Place
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6.11Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.250.1%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University1.860.2%1st Place
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8.7Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.67McGill University-0.920.0%1st Place
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2.52Brown University2.200.3%1st Place
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8.37Middlebury College-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.61University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Swanson | 21.4% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Omura | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Tschiegg | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lynn | 21.1% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 22.8% | 20.4% |
| Kevin Wilkinson | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Housberg | 31.5% | 25.9% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Freeman | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 14.9% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 47.5% |
| Shannon Nardi | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.