Race 1B

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lily Lichtenstein 38.0% 26.5% 17.2% 10.7% 4.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 28.7% 27.2% 20.8% 14.2% 5.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Durand 11.2% 12.4% 18.3% 21.1% 16.1% 12.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Olivia Silva 8.7% 15.0% 16.6% 20.5% 17.1% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
John Hughes 3.8% 5.4% 7.0% 8.0% 12.1% 15.4% 21.0% 13.7% 11.1% 2.5%
Jorlyn Le Garrec 3.4% 4.6% 5.5% 7.6% 12.6% 16.0% 17.2% 17.3% 11.5% 4.3%
Stefanie Casella 1.2% 0.9% 2.0% 3.9% 6.7% 9.7% 11.0% 21.5% 23.4% 19.7%
Melissa Conway 0.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 4.5% 6.4% 10.5% 13.8% 23.3% 34.9%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.0% 0.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 6.1% 10.0% 14.9% 22.9% 36.2%
Sean O'Keefe 3.5% 5.9% 8.0% 9.1% 16.7% 17.6% 16.5% 13.8% 6.6% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.