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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.38+1.28vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.52vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.19+1.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.25-0.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.02+1.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.10+0.27vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.23-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.27-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.89-2.30vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.27-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Boston University2.380.4%1st Place
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2.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.3%1st Place
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4.02McGill University1.190.1%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.05Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Connecticut-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.7University of New Hampshire-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.32Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Lichtenstein | 37.8% | 27.0% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 28.8% | 26.7% | 22.0% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Silva | 10.7% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Durand | 9.7% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Hughes | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Jorlyn Le Garrec | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 4.6% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Melissa Conway | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 33.9% |
| Stefanie Casella | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 19.3% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 24.3% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.