← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lily Lichtenstein 37.8% 27.0% 17.2% 10.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 28.8% 26.7% 22.0% 13.0% 6.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Silva 10.7% 11.9% 17.6% 19.7% 17.1% 14.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Caitlin Durand 9.7% 15.0% 18.2% 19.4% 17.8% 10.8% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
John Hughes 3.8% 5.5% 6.0% 8.3% 12.2% 16.7% 18.1% 17.0% 9.0% 3.4%
Jorlyn Le Garrec 3.5% 4.2% 5.7% 7.9% 11.4% 16.2% 17.4% 17.2% 11.9% 4.6%
Sean O'Keefe 3.1% 5.6% 7.1% 11.7% 17.1% 17.4% 17.2% 12.0% 6.6% 2.2%
Melissa Conway 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 4.2% 5.9% 11.6% 14.8% 22.8% 33.9%
Stefanie Casella 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 4.0% 5.1% 8.4% 12.6% 21.0% 24.1% 19.3%
Nathaniel Wiener 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 3.5% 3.8% 6.6% 9.6% 12.8% 24.3% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.