Race 3B

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Greta Farrell 30.9% 26.4% 20.0% 12.3% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Hughes 4.4% 3.8% 5.6% 8.6% 12.6% 18.6% 17.9% 14.8% 10.6% 3.1%
Lily Lichtenstein 34.0% 27.3% 21.8% 9.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Silva 9.0% 15.2% 16.2% 20.3% 18.1% 11.0% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Jorlyn Le Garrec 2.5% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 11.3% 15.2% 17.9% 18.8% 10.5% 4.3%
Caitlin Durand 12.1% 13.0% 17.0% 21.7% 16.6% 10.2% 6.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.1% 0.7% 0.8% 2.6% 3.3% 7.4% 9.2% 16.7% 23.1% 35.1%
Melissa Conway 0.7% 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 4.9% 5.7% 11.7% 12.6% 24.5% 33.9%
Sean O'Keefe 4.1% 4.5% 7.9% 10.2% 16.9% 18.5% 15.8% 13.2% 6.6% 2.3%
Stefanie Casella 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 4.7% 5.9% 8.6% 13.0% 18.3% 23.3% 21.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.