Race 4B

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lily Lichtenstein 38.3% 26.3% 16.8% 10.3% 5.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Durand 10.1% 14.0% 20.0% 18.4% 18.7% 9.4% 6.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Jorlyn Le Garrec 2.8% 4.5% 5.1% 8.7% 8.4% 16.6% 19.2% 17.7% 12.6% 4.4%
Olivia Silva 9.1% 13.7% 18.3% 20.8% 16.8% 11.6% 6.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 29.1% 29.4% 19.6% 12.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean O'Keefe 4.7% 4.8% 7.7% 10.2% 15.4% 18.6% 15.9% 14.0% 6.6% 2.1%
John Hughes 2.7% 4.0% 6.6% 8.7% 14.8% 17.3% 18.7% 14.3% 9.9% 3.0%
Stefanie Casella 1.3% 1.3% 2.7% 4.7% 6.4% 9.0% 12.7% 19.3% 22.8% 19.8%
Melissa Conway 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.4% 10.0% 14.0% 24.4% 34.8%
Nathaniel Wiener 0.9% 0.6% 1.7% 3.2% 4.0% 6.7% 9.4% 15.4% 22.4% 35.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.