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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.95+6.02vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.63+10.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+2.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+2.05vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+1.03vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.37+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.21+1.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.19-3.09vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.70-5.19vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.84-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.67+2.69vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+0.71vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.44-5.10vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.27-3.83vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.56-5.65vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Rollins College0.957.2%1st Place
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12.26Duke University-0.631.2%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida1.4511.5%1st Place
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5.46North Carolina State University1.5711.8%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida0.997.1%1st Place
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7.03Eckerd College0.857.0%1st Place
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8.82Florida State University0.375.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Miami0.213.5%1st Place
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5.91College of Charleston1.1910.9%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University1.7014.2%1st Place
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6.9Jacksonville University0.848.2%1st Place
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14.69University of Central Florida-1.670.7%1st Place
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13.71Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.1%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University0.444.3%1st Place
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11.17The Citadel-0.272.2%1st Place
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10.35Auburn University0.562.8%1st Place
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13.81Embry-Riddle University-1.831.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher McCollum | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 41.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 20.4% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.