Race 5B

crews

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jorlyn Le Garrec 3.7% 3.6% 5.2% 8.9% 10.5% 13.0% 16.8% 17.4% 12.4% 8.5%
Caitlin Durand 11.5% 12.4% 17.4% 19.1% 16.3% 11.8% 7.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Lily Lichtenstein 34.3% 28.0% 19.2% 11.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 29.0% 27.9% 20.5% 12.8% 6.5% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefanie Casella 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 6.0% 8.6% 11.0% 13.8% 24.7% 26.0%
Olivia Silva 11.6% 11.8% 16.4% 18.0% 18.4% 12.4% 6.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Melissa Conway 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.2% 3.7% 7.0% 7.9% 12.9% 20.5% 43.5%
Olivia Tubio 1.5% 2.7% 4.3% 5.3% 8.7% 11.2% 12.8% 19.2% 20.9% 13.4%
Sean O'Keefe 3.8% 6.0% 6.0% 11.1% 14.6% 16.0% 16.2% 15.0% 8.7% 2.6%
John Hughes 2.6% 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 10.8% 15.7% 20.1% 14.2% 11.4% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.