← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jorlyn Le Garrec 3.5% 4.4% 5.4% 7.3% 11.4% 13.7% 16.3% 17.3% 13.7% 7.0%
Greta Farrell 28.5% 26.2% 21.4% 13.6% 6.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Lichtenstein 34.3% 29.3% 17.1% 12.1% 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Silva 10.6% 12.3% 18.0% 17.9% 17.2% 12.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Caitlin Durand 11.7% 13.2% 17.5% 20.5% 15.4% 10.4% 7.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
John Hughes 4.1% 5.2% 4.4% 8.9% 12.0% 16.5% 16.1% 14.8% 11.7% 6.3%
Stefanie Casella 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 5.7% 8.7% 11.1% 16.4% 23.6% 27.2%
Olivia Tubio 1.4% 2.5% 4.7% 5.2% 8.5% 10.7% 14.0% 19.0% 21.1% 12.9%
Sean O'Keefe 4.0% 4.9% 7.9% 9.0% 15.1% 16.7% 17.8% 13.2% 8.0% 3.4%
Melissa Conway 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.8% 4.0% 6.5% 8.4% 13.0% 19.4% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.