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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+0.23vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo-1.24+1.16vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-0.45vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.14-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.8%1st Place
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3.16University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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2.55Rochester Institute of Technology-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.06Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Warren | 80.0% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Emily Hann | 4.6% | 19.9% | 30.8% | 44.7% |
| Cynthia Stetson | 10.6% | 41.3% | 30.8% | 17.3% |
| Claire Michaud | 4.8% | 21.6% | 36.1% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.