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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+0.23vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo-1.24+1.16vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.14+0.09vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.8%1st Place
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3.16University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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3.09Syracuse University-1.140.1%1st Place
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2.52Rochester Institute of Technology-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Warren | 80.4% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Hann | 4.7% | 17.6% | 35.0% | 42.7% |
| Claire Michaud | 6.1% | 20.7% | 31.4% | 41.8% |
| Cynthia Stetson | 8.8% | 45.3% | 31.0% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.